Thaum Lub Rau Hli 30th, xibfwb Wang Tianmiao los ntawm Beijing University of Aeronautics thiab Astronautics tau raug caw tuaj koom rau hauvrobotics kev lag luamsub lub rooj sab laj thiab muab ib daim ntawv qhia zoo txog cov cuab yeej technology thiab kev loj hlob ntawm kev pabcuam neeg hlau.
Raws li lub voj voog ntev ntev, xws li mobile internet thiab smartphones (2005-2020), tsheb tshiab lub zog thiab lub tsheb ntse (2015-2030), kev lag luam digital thiab smart robots (2020-2050), thiab lwm yam, nws yeej ib txwm ua tau zoo heev. muaj kev txhawj xeeb los ntawm tsoomfwv, kev lag luam, kev kawm, cov zej zog peev, thiab lwm lub tebchaws, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog rau Tuam Tshoj. Raws li kev lag luam nyiaj faib tawm thiab cov nyiaj faib cov pej xeem maj mam poob qis, Cov nyiaj faib nyiaj txiag tau dhau los ua lub hauv paus tseem ceeb rau kev rov tshwm sim ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam thiab kev tsim kho kom ruaj khov thiab ceev ceev ntawm nws lub teb chaws muaj zog. Ntawm lawv, kev txawj ntse txawj ntse, cov neeg hlau ntse, kev tsim cov khoom tshiab, cov pa roj carbon nruab nrab ntawm lub zog tshiab, biotechnology, thiab lwm yam thev naus laus zis tau dhau los ua qhov tseem ceeb tsav tsheb rau yav tom ntej kev lag luam hloov tshiab thiab kev txhim kho kev lag luam tshiab.
Kev loj hlob ntawm kev sib raug zoo thiab kev sib koom ua ke ntawm kev tsim kho tshiab niaj hnub txhawb kev hloov pauv thiab kev loj hlob ntawm cov neeg hlau ntse los ntawm kev siv tshuab los tsim.
Industrial scale txoj kev loj hlob thiab nroog agglomeration xav tau:ntawm ib sab, kev ua tau zoo thiab kev tsav tsheb zoo, kev ua haujlwm poob qis thiab tus nqi nce kev tsav tsheb, txhawb kev txhim kho los ntawm kev lag luam theem nrab mus rau kev lag luam tertiary thiab daim ntawv thov ntawm thawj kev lag luam. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, Txoj Kev Siv thiab Txoj Kev tau dhau los ua ib qho txiaj ntsig tseem ceeb rau cov neeg hlau thiab cov chaw tsim khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv Suav teb. Ntawm qhov tod tes, kev sib sau ua ke ntawm cov pej xeem thiab kev thauj mus los hauv cov nroog loj, suav nrog cov khoom noj khoom haus thiab kev ua liaj ua teb, cov zaub prefabricated thiab cov zaub mov tshiab, kev kho cov khib nyiab thiab dej phwj tuaj thiab kev tiv thaiv ib puag ncig, kev tsav tsheb tsis muaj zog thiab kev thauj mus los ntse, kev tswj xyuas lub zog thiab kev txuag hluav taws xob thiab kev sib pauv, AIot thiab kev saib xyuas kev nyab xeeb, kev puas tsuaj-txhim kho neeg hlau, nrog rau cov neeg hlau rau kev sib tham, kev thauj mus los, kev tu, tsev so, kev nthuav qhia, kas fes, thiab lwm yam, txhua tus tau dhau los ua kev pabcuam sai thiab cov khoom siv robots.
Lub acceleration ntawm aging zej zog thiab kev thov rau tiam tshiab kev lom zem, kab lis kev cai thiab muaj tswv yim kev ua si:
Ntawm qhov tod tes, qhov kev thov rau cov neeg hlau xws li kev sib tham, nrog rau, tus pab cuam, kev saib xyuas cov neeg laus, kev kho kom rov zoo, thiab cov tshuaj suav tshuaj suav tau nce zuj zus, suav nrog cov kab mob digital mus kho mob thiab AI virtual robots, kev tawm dag zog thiab kev kho mob thiab tshuaj suav tshuaj suav tshuaj massage robots. , siv tau mobile robots, dov massage thiab fecal pov tsegneeg hlau, ntawm cov uas 15% muaj hnub nyoog tshaj 65 xyoo thiab 25% muaj hnub nyoog tshaj 75 xyoo, 45% ntawm cov neeg muaj hnub nyoog 85 thiab siab dua xav tau kev pab no. Ntawm qhov tod tes, cov neeg hlau rau cov tub ntxhais hluas hauv thaj chaw xws li thev naus laus zis, kev coj noj coj ua thiab kev lag luam muaj tswv yim, kev lom zem, thiab kev ua kis las, suav nrog tib neeg lub koom haum thiab kev sib txuas lus, tib neeg-tshuab hybrid ntse neeg hlau, kev xav tus khub neeg hlau, ua noj robots, tu neeg hlau, VR tus kheej lub cev muaj zog robots, qia cell thiab kev zoo nkauj txhaj tshuaj robots, kev lom zem thiab seev cev robots, thiab lwm yam.
Irreplaceable robots nyob rau hauv tshwj xeeb scenarios: ntawm ib sab, muaj kev thov rau cov thev naus laus zis xws li kev tshawb nrhiav interstellar, kev kho cov haujlwm ua haujlwm, thiab cov ntaub so ntswg lom neeg, suav nrog kev tshawb nrhiav chaw thiab kev nkag tebchaws, lub hlwb cuam tshuam thiab kev nco qab, kev phais neeg hlau thiab vascular nanorobots, electromyographic lub neej cov ntaub so ntswg, noj qab nyob zoo thiab zoo siab. biochemical technology, thiab txoj sia nyob mus ib txhis thiab tus ntsuj plig. Ntawm qhov tod tes, kev ua haujlwm txaus ntshai thiab kev ua tsov rog hauv zos xav tau kev txhawb nqa, suav nrog kev tshawb fawb thiab kev tsim kho kev ua haujlwm txaus ntshai, kev cawm thiab kev puas tsuaj, tsheb tsis muaj neeg tsav tsheb, cov tsheb tsis muaj neeg tsav tsheb, cov tsheb tsis muaj neeg tsav tsheb, cov nkoj tsis muaj neeg tsav tsheb, cov cuab yeej ntse, cov tub rog neeg hlau, thiab lwm yam.
Dynamic 1:Cov ntsiab lus kub Frontier hauv kev tshawb fawb yooj yim, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov ntaub ntawv tshiab thiab cov khoom siv sib xyaw ua ke zoo sib xws, NLP thiab multimodality, lub hlwb lub computer interfaces thiab kev txawj ntse, software yooj yim thiab platforms, thiab lwm yam, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog qhov tseem ceeb, vim tias qhov kev sib tw hauv qhov pib pib xav tau hloov pauv. daim ntawv, cov khoom ua haujlwm, thiab cov kev pabcuam ntawm cov neeg hlau.
1. Humanoid neeg hlau tshuab, cov kab mob muaj sia, cov leeg nqaij, cov tawv nqaij tsim, electromyographic tswj, cov ntaub so ntswg, cov nqaij mos, thiab lwm yam;
2. DNA nanorobots thiab cov khoom tshiab micro/nano Cheebtsam, nanomaterials, MEMS, 3D printing, ntse prostheses, micro/nano manufacturing sib dhos, tsav lub zog hloov dua siab tshiab, quab yuam tawm tswv yim sib cuam tshuam, thiab lwm yam;
3. Biological perception technology, audiovisual quab yuam kov sensors, ntug AI xam, rigid saj zawg zog coupling, xaav tsav kev koom ua ke, thiab lwm yam;
4. Kev nkag siab ntawm cov lus ntuj, kev paub txog kev xav thiab kev sib txuas lus ntawm tib neeg-khoos phis tawj thev naus laus zis, kev sib tham txawj ntse technology, kev sib tham ntawm kev xav, kev sib tham nyob deb, thiab kev saib xyuas menyuam yaus thiab neeg laus;
5. Brain computer interface thiab mechatronics integration technology, hlwb science, neural nco ntsoov, electromyographic signals, paub graph, kev paub paub, tshuab vim li cas, thiab lwm yam;
6. Metaverse virtual tib neeg thiab neeg hlau kev koom ua ke thev naus laus zis, tiam tom ntej hauv internet, kev lom zem sib cuam tshuam, cov neeg sawv cev, kev paub txog xwm txheej, kev ua haujlwm nyob deb, thiab lwm yam;
7. Cov cuab yeej siv thev naus laus zis sib xyaw ua ke ntawm tes, taw, qhov muag, thiab lub hlwb, suav nrog lub platform txawb,robotic caj npab, pom kev module, kawg effector, thiab lwm yam. Nws integrates ib puag ncig kev xaav, positioning thiab navigation, ntse tswj, unstructured ib puag ncig paub, multi tshuab kev sib koom tes, ntse tsheb thauj mus los, thiab lwm yam;
8. Super software automation, neeg hlau kev khiav hauj lwm systems, mos robots, RPA, kev tswj vaj tse, nyiaj txiag, tsoom fwv automation, thiab lwm yam;
9. Huab kev pabcuam neeg hlau tshuab, faib cov kev pabcuam huab, cov chaw ua haujlwm huab, kev txawj ntse thiab tshuab kev kawm, kev txawj ntse txawj ntse txhais tau, cov kev pabcuam xauj tsev, cov kev pabcuam hauv chaw taws teeb, neeg hlau ua haujlwm RaaS, thiab lwm yam;
10. Ethics, Robotics for Good, Employment, Privacy, Ethics and Law, thiab lwm yam.
Dynamic 2: Robots +, nrog sensors thiab core Cheebtsam, high-frequency standardized coj mus muag daim ntaub ntawv (xws li nyob rau hauv tsev thiab sab nraum zoov logistics, tu, saib xyuas kev xav, thiab lwm yam), thiab Raas thiab App software yog tshwj xeeb tshaj yog ib qho tseem ceeb, vim hais tias cov no yuav tsum tau tawg los ntawm ib yam khoom. txwv ntau tshaj kaum lab units los yog tsim ib tug subscription raws li kev lag luam qauv
Cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb tshaj plaws suav nrog AI lub zeem muag, quab yuam thiab kov, RV, lub cev muaj zog, AMR, tsim thiab siv software, thiab lwm yam; Super software automation cov cuab yeej xws li AIops, RPA, Raas, thiab lwm cov qauv loj ntsug, nrog rau cov kev pabcuam huab cua xws li Raas rau kev xauj, kev cob qhia, kev ua haujlwm, thiab kev tsim daim ntawv thov; Kev kho mob robots; Mobile composite robots rau loading thiab unloading, tuav logistics, los yog tu; Rau kev lom zem, catering, massage, moxibustion, nrog rau thiab lwm yam kev pab neeg hlau; Rau unmanned systems nyob rau hauv kev ua liaj ua teb, kev tsim kho, recycling, dismantling, zog, nuclear kev lag luam, thiab lwm yam.
Hais txog kev siv neeg hlau thiab kev lag luam, qee lub tuam txhab hauv Suav teb kuj tau tshwm sim hauv kev ua tiav cov neeg hlau ua tiav thiab cov khoom tseem ceeb. Lawv cia siab tias yuav muaj kev thov dav dav hauv lub zog tshiab, automated logistics, kev ua liaj ua teb thiab cov khoom siv, biotechnology, kev pabcuam pej xeem, kev pabcuam hauv tsev, thiab lwm yam haujlwm, qhia txog kev loj hlob tawg hauv segmented teb.
Lub "14th Tsib Xyoo Plan rau Kev Txhim Kho ntawm Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam" hais tias qhov kev loj hlob txhua xyoo ntawm cov nyiaj tau los ntawm kev lag luam hauv kev lag luam neeg hlau thaum lub sijhawm 14th Tsib Xyoo Npaj tau tshaj 20%, thiab qhov ceev ntawm kev tsim cov neeg hlau tau nce ob npaug. Daim ntawv thov scenarios npog ntau qhov ntev xws li mus rau G kawg, mus rau B kawg, thiab mus rau C kawg. Environmental standard, high-frequency space, thiab cov nqi zog kuj ua rau "tshuab hloov" qhov mob ntawm qee qhov xwm txheej.
Dynamic 3: Tus qauv loj + neeg hlau, uas yuav tsum sib sau ua ke cov qauv loj loj nrog cov qauv loj ntsug ntawm cov ntawv thov neeg hlau tshwj xeeb hauv daim ntawv thov scenarios ntawm embodied txawj ntse interactivity, kev paub, thiab standardization, zoo heev txhim kho cov theem ntawm neeg hlau txawj ntse thiab deepening nws daim ntawv thov dav.
Raws li paub zoo, universal multimodal, NLP, CV, sib tham sib thiab lwm yam AI qauv yog innovating neeg hlau xaav txoj kev, ib puag ncig kev txawj ntse complexity, kev paub-raws li fusion txiav txim siab thiab tswj, thiab yuav tsum tau txhim kho qib ntawm neeg hlau txawj ntse thiab dav. daim ntawv thov teb, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau hauv kev sib koom ua ke ntawm kev sib tham sib, kev paub-raws li, thiab cov txheej txheem daim ntawv thov scenarios ntawm embodied txawj ntse, suav nrog kev tshawb fawb thiab kev kawm, cov neeg pab, cov neeg zov me nyuam, cov neeg laus, nrog rau kev taw qhia kev khiav hauj lwm, tu, logistics, thiab lwm yam., nws yuav tsum tau. los ua kev tawg ua ntej.
Dynamic 4:Humanoid (biomimetic) robots yuav tsum tsim ib daim ntawv sib koom ua ke ntawm ib qho khoom siv neeg hlau, uas xav tias yuav ua rau muaj kev loj hlob sai ntawm AI chips, ntau yam sensors, thiab muab cov saw hlau rov tsim kho thiab ntsuas cov khoom siv neeg hlau.
Kev tuaj txog ntawm lub sijhawm ntawm "neeg hlau +" embraces billions ntawm biomimetic neeg hlau. Nrog rau kev siv zog ntawm cov pejxeem kev laus thiab kev loj hlob ntawm kev tsim khoom ntse, tib lub sijhawm, cov neeg hlau, kev txawj ntse, thiab kev pabcuam huab cov ntaub ntawv loj tau nkag mus rau theem kev txhim kho cuam tshuam. Bionic robots yog tsav lub loj-scale industrialization txoj kev loj hlob ntawm ntse robots nrog rau lwm modular, ntse, thiab huab kev pab cuam txoj kev loj hlob. Ntawm lawv, humanoid thiab quadruped robots yuav yog ob qhov kev cog lus zoo tshaj plaws ntawm cov neeg hlau biomimetic. Raws li kev kwv yees qhov zoo, yog tias 3-5% ntawm lub ntiaj teb kev sib txawv ntawm kev ua haujlwm zoo li yuav raug hloov los ntawm biomimetic humanoid robots ntawm 2030 thiab 2035, nws xav tias qhov kev thov rau humanoid robots yuav yog li 1-3 lab units, sib xws rau ib ntiaj teb kev lag luam loj tshaj 260 billion yuan thiab Suav lag luam tshaj 65 billion yuan.
Biomimetic robots tseem tseem ceeb tshaj qhov tseem ceeb ntawm cov teeb meem kev ua haujlwm ntawm kev hloov pauv hloov tau yooj yim thiab kev ua haujlwm tau zoo. Tsis zoo li cov neeg hlau ib txwm muaj, txhawm rau txav mus los yooj yim thiab ua haujlwm hauv qhov chaw tsis muaj teeb meem, biomimetic thiab humanoid robots muaj qhov xav tau nrawm dua rau kev ruaj ntseg thiab cov ntsiab lus siab kawg. Cov teeb meem tseem ceeb muaj xws li lub zog siab ceev tsav tsheb, kev tswj xyuas kev ua haujlwm ntse, lub sijhawm muaj peev xwm ntawm ib puag ncig kev xav, tib neeg-tshuab sib cuam tshuam, thiab lwm yam thev naus laus zis. Lub zej zog kev kawm tau nquag tshawb nrhiav cov ntaub ntawv ntse tshiab, nruj yoog raws kev sib txuas ntawm cov leeg nqaij Artificial xaav ntawm daim tawv nqaij, mos robots, thiab lwm yam.
ChatGPT + Biomimetic Robot "ua kom cov neeg hlau hloov pauv los ntawm" zoo ib yam li hauv daim ntawv "rau" zoo ib yam li tus ntsuj plig ". Qhib AI nqis peev hauv 1X Technologies humanoid neeg hlau tuam txhab kom nkag mus rau kev lag luam neeg hlau, tshawb nrhiav daim ntawv thov thiab tsaws ntawm ChatGPT hauv kev ua haujlwm ntawm cov neeg hlau. , tshawb nrhiav multimodal loj cov qauv lus, thiab txhawb nqa tus kheej rov hais dua kev paub txog tus qauv ntawm humanoid robots hauv kev sib txuas ntawm tib neeg-tshuab sib cuam tshuam cov ntaub ntawv kev paub thiab kev ua haujlwm ib puag ncig daim ntawv thov txheej txheem kev paub, txhawm rau daws qhov teeb meem lag luam loj ntawm kev sib xyaw ua ke ntawm cov txheej txheem kawg kawg. algorithm ntawm kev lag luam neeg hlau software thiab kev xaav pem hauv ntej-kawg AI ntug xam.
Txawm tias humanoidneeg hlaumuaj qhov tsis muaj zog txaus ntshai ntawm kev ua tau zoo thiab lub zog, daim ntawv thov thiab kev yooj yim, nrog rau kev saib xyuas thiab tus nqi, nws yog ib qho tsim nyog yuav tsum tau them sai sai rau qhov kev vam meej ntawm Tesla txoj kev nrawm nrawm ntawm humanoid robots. Yog vim li cas yog Tesla tau rov txhais thiab tsim humanoid robots los ntawm nws tus kheej tshwj xeeb daim ntawv thov scenarios nyob rau hauv loj-scale tsheb tsim nyob rau hauv lub teb chaws Yelemees, Tuam Tshoj, Mexico, thiab lwm qhov chaw, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm mechanical qauv Electronic tsav, tshiab tsim ntawm 40 sib koom ua ke, thiab txawm tias qee qhov ntawm lawv muaj kev cuam tshuam, suav nrog qhov sib txawv ntawm cov zis torque, qhov tso zis ceev, qhov tseeb ntawm qhov chaw, kev sib hloov khov kho, kev xaav quab yuam, kev ntsuas tus kheej, ntim qhov loj, thiab lwm yam. Cov kev hloov tshiab tshiab no yuav tsum tau tsav txoj kev loj hlob ntawm humanoid robots nyob rau hauv " Kev nkag siab muaj peev xwm, kev sib cuam tshuam muaj peev xwm, kev ua haujlwm thiab kev tswj xyuas muaj peev xwm" universal xam qauv thiab daim ntawv thov kev ntsug loj qauv, thiab muab yug rau lawv cov neeg hlau AI chips Kev loj hlob sai ntawm ntau yam sensors thiab neeg hlau qhov chaw muab saw hlau restructuring thiab scaling tau ua kom nws maj mam txo. tus nqi los ntawm Tesla Robotics, uas tam sim no tshaj $ 1 lab, thiab mus txog tus nqi muag ntawm $ 20000.
Thaum kawg, saib txog kev txhim kho keeb kwm thiab kev sib raug zoo, kev tshuaj xyuas yav tom ntej ntawm kev sib koom tes thiab kev cuam tshuam thev naus laus zis hauv cov ntaub ntawv tshiab, lub zog tshiab, biology, AI, thiab lwm yam. Kev tsom mus rau kev tsim cov kev lag luam tshiab xav tau rau lub ntiaj teb kev laus, kev loj hlob hauv nroog, kev hloov pauv ntawm cov pej xeem, thiab kev sib txuas lus, kev txawj ntse, thiab nplai, tseem muaj qhov tsis paub tseeb tias lub ntiaj teb kev pabcuam neeg hlau yuav tawg los ntawm trillions ntawm kev lag luam loj hlob qhov chaw hauv 10 xyoo tom ntej, muaj. Peb qhov kev sib cav loj uas sawv tawm: ib qho yog txoj hauv kev ntawm morphological evolution? Kev lag luam, kev lag luam, humanoid, qauv loj, lossis kev siv sib txawv; Thib ob, kev tsav tsheb ruaj khov ntawm kev lag luam muaj nqis? Kev ua haujlwm, kev cob qhia, kev sib koom ua ke, ua tiav cov tshuab, cov khoom siv, cov platforms, thiab lwm yam, kev tso cai ntawm IP, muag, leasing, kev pabcuam, kev tso npe, thiab lwm yam., thiab kev sib koom tes cov cai muaj feem xyuam rau cov tsev kawm ntawv qib siab, kev lag luam ntiag tug, kev lag luam hauv xeev, kev tsim kho tshiab, cov saw hlau. , peev, tsoom fwv, thiab lwm yam; Thirdly, robot ethics?
Yuav ua li casneeg hlautig mus rau qhov zoo?
Nws kuj suav nrog kev ua haujlwm, kev ceev ntiag tug, kev ncaj ncees, kev ncaj ncees, thiab cov teeb meem kev cai lij choj.
Post lub sij hawm: Sep-28-2023
